Saturday, April 26, 2014

The Essential Non-Trading Trading Books

There is so much trading literature available that sifting through all of it to find value can be a daunting task.  There are some classics such as the “Market Wizards” series,” Reminiscences of a Stock Operator,” and “Pit Bull.”  There are also some newer books which I think are great like “Hedge Fund Market Wizards,” “Traders at Work,” or “Market Mind Games.” 

While I intend to take a closer look at these trading books further down the road, right now I’d like to point out the tremendous value to be found in books that aren’t explicitly about trading.  So, this week, I present to you the list of Non-Trading Trading Books.  I will provide a brief description of the book, its relation to the trading game, and then offer some relevant quotes and what they mean for traders.    

Letters From A Stoic by Seneca

Seneca was a Roman Stoic Philosopher.  “Letters From a Stoic” is a collection of essays disguised as letters to a friend of Seneca’s.  One of the main themes in the book is the importance of dealing with uncertainty and things outside of your control with a dispassionate attitude.  Adopting this sort of attitude can seriously help one in trading.  After all, once you put on a trade, what happens is out of your control.  The only thing that you do control is your reaction.  Aside from the near-explicit trading lessons to be found, there is a lot to learn about how to live, which also affects how one trades.

“Halt before every good which Chance brings to you, in a spirit of doubt and fear; for it is the dumb animals and fish that are deceived by tempting hopes.”
 Trading Translation: Hope kills traders.  Be wary of easily gotten gains. 

“Our lack of confidence is not the result of difficulty.  The difficulty comes from our lack of confidence.”
 Trading Translation: Confidence is absolutely key to trading well, but don’t forget to balance it with humility.

Deep Survival by Laurence Gonzales

This is one of my top five favorite books of all time.  Gonzales looks at some extreme situations in which people had to survive – being stranded at sea, stuck in a jungle after a plane crash, lost in the wilderness.  He then figures out why they survived.  How did they think differently from those who perished?  What traits did the survivors have?  Trading in the financial markets throws the participant into what is basically an electronic wilderness.  When real money is on the line, how you think and deal with yourself is what will separate the winner from the loser.   Having the “survivor personality” is absolutely critical to success in trading.  I have read this book a few times and it never ceases to amaze me how much Gonzales’ perspective applies to trading.  A few quotes to show what I mean:

“There are things you can’t control, so you’d better know how you’re going to react to them.”
Trading Translation: You can’t control what happens when you are in a trade, so be ready to react to any possible scenario.

“…they displayed that quality which is perhaps the only one which may be said with certainty to make for success, self-control.”
Trading Translation: Can the importance of self-control in trading ever really be stressed enough?

“Stress causes most people to focus narrowly on the things that they consider most important, and it may be the wrong thing.”
Trading Translation:  If you are in a losing trade and the market is moving against you, your brain is going to focus on information that you want to see; information that confirms that you are correct.  You should actually be looking for information that is saying that you are incorrect instead!

“In nature [or the markets], adaptation is important; the plan is not.  It’s a Zen thing.  We must plan.  But we must be able to let go of the plan, too.”
Trading Translation: Planning every day is important so you know how you will handle different scenarios.  But plans can quickly be invalidated in trading, so you need to be able to forget your original plan and come up with a new one.

The I Ching or Book of Changes by Brian Browne Walker

The I Ching is a classic Chinese text that was believed to be written between 475-221 BCE.  To use the I Ching properly, you are supposed to throw specific Chinese coins to come to some sort of answer.  However, the text alone provides a lot of lessons that can be learned and applied to trading.

“A challenge lies ahead.  Ready yourself by deepening the stillness within.  Anxious anticipation only weakens your abilities.”
Trading Translation:  Every day that a trader wakes up, he faces the challenge of a new trading day where it is impossible to know what is going to happen.  Having feelings of anxiety is a common experience.  This quote is one that I try to keep in mind at the beginning of the day to keep things in perspective. 

“Recognize the beginnings of improper action.  The superior person corrects herself while it is still easy to do so.”
Trading Translation:  After I have a couple of bad trades in a row, I know that my vision of the market is probably not objective anymore.  Instead of continuing to press my trades, it is always a better idea to recognize my flawed judgment and correct it.

“The superior person avoids making excuses.  Recognize errors, correct them, and there will be no misfortune.”
Trading Translation:  Trading is a business in which the participant is 100 percent responsible for his or her results.  It is never the fault of the market that the trader lost money, and if the trader believes otherwise, that trader will never learn from their mistakes. 

Thinking Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman

This is a pretty popular book that takes a look at how our brains work.  One of the main themes is that we can much more easily spot the mistakes of others than we can our own.  Kahneman also discusses what he calls “System 1” and “System 2.”  System 2 is in charge of self-control while System 1 is more impulsive.  This is all rooted in evolutionary biology.  Knowing how we think can help us to work around innate biases that might have adverse effects on our trading decisions.

“The best we can do is a compromise: learn to recognize situations in which mistakes are likely and try harder to avoid significant mistakes when the stakes are high.  The premise of this book is that it is easier to recognize other people’s mistakes than our own.”
Trading Translation: The stakes are always high in trading so working to avoid mistakes is always necessary.  And what about the idea that it is easier to recognize other people’s mistakes than our own?  Mistakes any traders make are lessons for the smart trader to take into the future.  I believe the savvy, experienced trader can see other traders making mistakes in the market and then exploit them to advantage.    

“The conclusion is straightforward: self-control requires attention and effort.”
Trading Translation: I don’t think most people see self-control as the biological process that it really is.  It is not something that you either have or you don’t.  It is something you can build and in order to use it properly, you need to be eating well, sleeping well, and exercising.  These things all help to maintain a healthy lifestyle and energy levels, which directly influences success in trading. 

“…effortful mental activity appears to be especially expensive in the currency of glucose.  When you are actively involved in difficult cognitive reasoning or engaged in a task that requires self-control, your blood glucose level drops.  The bold implication of this idea is that the effects of ego depletion could be undone by ingesting glucose, and [this hypothesis has been confirmed in several experiment].”
Trading Translation: Your brain craves glucose as a result of effortful thinking, so eat more bananas when trading.  Seriously though, keeping your energy status in mind is important so you can know if your discipline may not be where it needs to be.  Thinking takes energy!

“Another remarkable discovery is the powerful effect of mood…They [experimenters] found that putting the participants in a good mood before the test by having them think happy thoughts more than doubled accuracy.  An even more striking result is that unhappy subjects were completely incapable of performing the intuitive task accurately…when we are uncomfortable and unhappy, we lose touch with our intuition.”
Trading Translation: Having a positive attitude is necessary when trading.  You need to have confidence to be able to rely on your intuition.
I could keep pulling quotes from this book for hours, but I strongly suggest you read it yourself. 

The Inner Game of Golf by W. Timothy Gallwey

The title is pretty self-explanatory but, just to be clear, this book is about the mental part of golf.  The concepts apply to trading with incredible accuracy, so I will let the quotes do the talking.

“…slow-motion videotapes revealed that the best golfers do a great deal that is individual or unique and that there are relatively few constants in the swings of the pros.”
Trading Translation: The same can be said about great traders.  They all have a method and style that is unique to them.  Tiger Woods can’t teach you your unique swing; although he can probably give you some good tips.  Likewise, Paul Tudor Jones can’t teach you how to trade using his style either; he can only offer general tips, one of which would probably be to figure out your own style.

“I concluded that the walk between shots is one of the most critical parts of the game.”
Trading Translation: Waiting between trades is difficult.  It takes a lot of patience.  Patience with the right mind set.  You can’t overthink and you need to be prepared for whatever happens.  You have to keep your thoughts positive so you remain confident in your ability to make correct decisions. 

“Doubt is the fundamental cause of error in sports.  It is self-doubt that causes the skier to tighten…”
Trading Translation: Self-doubt also causes the trader’s “vision” to narrow until the only things visible are the objects of fear.  The result is that the trader often gets what he or she fears most.

The Talent Code by Daniel Coyle

“Practice makes perfect” should be replaced with “Practice makes myelin,” according to Daniel Coyle.  This may sound like a self-help book, but it is all about the chemistry of the brain and it is the most fascinating book I’ve read in years.  Essentially, repetitive action (practice) causes myelin to wrap around the nerve fibers that are firing as you are performing a specific action.  Myelin insulates the nerve fibers causing them to fire faster and faster.  This is exactly what skill is on the chemical level.  Myelin is something that has scientists very excited right now and reading this book will give you a whole new perspective on whatever it is you do.

“You will become very clever through your mistakes.”
Trading Translation: Mistakes are truly a beautiful thing because they are really arrows pointing to what you need to improve on.  This is as true in trading as anywhere else.

“We think of effortless performance as desirable, but it’s really a terrible way to learn.”
Trading Translation: Struggle is the best way to learn anything worth the effort.  Without struggle, your brain is literally not making the connections that it needs to make to enhance your skill.

“’Things that appear to be obstacles turn out to be desirable in the long haul,’ Bjork said. ‘One real encounter, even for a few seconds, is far more useful than several hundred observations.’”
Trading Translation: Watching the markets may be a good way to learn about how they work, but experience is what really counts.

This book is worth a book (or maybe just a blog post) on its implications when it comes to trading. 


The above books are all much better read as a whole rather than a few select quotes.  Hopefully the sampled quotes will provide the evidence needed to understand that these books do carry valuable trading lessons. 

A lot of new traders start off by figuring out ways to analyze the markets.  What I think is far more important than that is learning how to analyze yourself.  The trading environment is very unique and our innate traits set us up for failure from the get-go.  Having every possible advantage is necessary to succeed in this business.  At one point it was thought that mind and body are separate, but now it is scientific fact that they both influence each other dramatically.  So while the above list may not directly address trading, they address an important aspect of it: you. 

Saturday, April 19, 2014

Boxing and Trading

Certain sports provide solid analogies to the world of trading.  Golf is a very mentally intensive game.  You can’t overthink your swing or you are going to screw part of it up.  You have to stay confident but maintain a sense of humility.  In baseball you have to know when to hit a single or a double.  Or maybe it’s time for a homerun.  Football has an element of strategy that is familiar to traders.  Fishing requires a tremendous amount of patience. 

There is no question that having some athletic background will give one an edge in the trading game, all else being equal.  For instance, golfers have to learn how to be levelheaded and control their emotions.  They have to be able to perform well under pressure.  That is something all traders struggle with.  Baseball provides my favorite analogy, however.  Knowing when you should hit a single, double, triple, or home run, is applicable to trading.  Should you let this winning trade keep going?   Or is it time to get out because the trend is going to turn?  In my opinion, knowing when to hit the single versus the home run is what separates the good trader from the great trader.  While I am not personally a huge football fan, a lot of guys at my old prop firm were big into the Madden videogame series and likened the strategic aspect to trading.  And fishing has some obvious parallels as well.  You have to sit and be extremely patient, waiting for the perfect opportunity. 

I can’t claim to have any extensive experience in any of the above sports with the exception of golf.  But one sport with which I am very familiar, and may actually provide a very apt analogy, almost never gets compared to trading: boxing. 

To the untrained eye, a boxing match simply appears to be two humans attempting to hit each other in the face.  To the more experienced patron, it is a game of chess in which everything comes down to technique, measured risk-taking, and knowing when to go for the kill. 
Most casual fight fans like to watch brawlers go at it.  They like to see fights such as Rios-Alvarado, Ward-Gatti, or Corrales-Castillo.  These were wars were the opponents put it all on the line.  These guys came to entertain.  People love fighters like Manny Pacquiao who relentlessly attack their opponents with flurries of devastating punches.  They want to see knockouts and perhaps blood.  I do enjoy these fights as well, but not nearly as much as I enjoy watching a masterful performance from a fighter like Floyd Mayweather, Andre Ward, or Guillermo Rigondeaux.  You have probably heard of Floyd Mayweather who is the “Pound 4 Pound” best fighter and highest paid athlete in the world.  Ward and Rigondeaux are known well by hardcore fans.  All three have the same things in common:  they are absolute masters of intelligent risk-taking, fighting on balance, and adjusting in the middle of a fight.  They are the masters of the “Sweet Science.” 

“Good trading is boring trading.”  Have you heard that before?  If not, you might be missing out on some great trading literature.  The point is that trading comes down to a grind.  You sit there; you wait, and then you take a trade.  Then you take another.  And another.   The glamour that is often seen in movies and other media just doesn’t exist in the real world of trading.  Trading is a tough, tough business and you have to be mentally fit to sit through the hard times, the boring times, and most importantly, the good times.  After all, it is during the good times that you may be prone to overconfidence and as a result, dropping your guard. 

People who don’t understand trading are sometimes drawn to it because they expect this sense of glamour, but those who do understand trading know what the reality is.  The same can be said about boxing.  The top fighters all have styles that seem boring, but if you know what you are watching, then it is truly a thing of beauty.  Watching Andre Ward set up his opponent to make a mistake that leads to a left-hook KO two rounds later; Guillermo Rigondeaux schools one of the hardest hitters in the sport with his incredible timing; Floyd Mayweather proves to be more elusive than the ‘Holy Grail’ is in trading.  These are all beautiful, quiet qualities of these boxers.   Distracted by the blood and guts, the casual fans don’t get to witness the marvelous technique that makes the Sweet Science so sweet.  .  Imagine watching one of the best traders in the world get out of a trade with a small loss in order to avoid a larger one.  Is that exciting?  Not really, but it is proper risk management.  Imagine watching another trader take huge risks and making big profits.  That is exciting to watch, but with that lack of money management (think about a boxer using proper defense, hands up), the trader is bound to get blown out (like the boxer would get knocked out for the lack of defense). 

Take a look at Floyd Mayweather, one of the best defensive boxers of all time.  He is a master of protecting himself and taking intelligent risks.  Every time a boxer drops his hands, he is open to being hit.  Every time a trader takes a trade, he is open to taking a loss.  Knowing when it is time to take the risk and when it is time to protect yourself is vital.  If the market is not providing an opportunity, then you keep your hands up.  If there is an opening, you take it, and then get right back to protecting yourself.  Some boxers will keep their hands down and throw less-than-stellar shots hoping to score a knockout.  This leads to a lot of unnecessary risk being taken as a result of hope.  Good traders don’t hope.  Floyd Mayweather doesn’t hope.  This brings us to the next point…

…Staying on balance.  If you are not on balance in the ring, you can’t throw a proper punch.  If you are not mentally on balance, you cannot make objective trading decisions.   Staying on balance, both mentally and physically, is difficult, but few things are more important.  This is what discipline is all about in both endeavors.   Throwing a punch off balance can easily lead to the puncher being knocked out.  Taking a trade when you are not seeing the market clearly can lead to a blowout.  You don’t see the best boxers taking wild swings.  If they miss a shot, they get back to the proper form and prepare for the next one.  Likewise, if a good trader takes a loss, he realizes it is just part of the game and prepares for the next trade.  Less experienced traders will take a loss and then immediately take another, lower quality trade to try to make their money right back.  Elite traders don’t take those trades.  They get back to playing defense and then wait for the next solid opportunity.   Taking a loss or getting hit with a punch is just the nature of these activities.  Taking multiple losses or getting tagged with combinations over and over might be an indication that your discipline needs to be checked.  

Adapting to changing conditions is tough and requires an open mind.  Staying defensively responsible and not wasting your energy or capital helps you keep this mind set.  The markets are always changing their tune.  They will change when you are in a trade and you might have to adapt right away.  A fighter might try a different approach against his opponent and then the opponent must adjust.  If you don’t adapt, you lose.  Mayweather is known for being able to adjust in the middle of a fight.  When he was fighting Miguel Cotto, he slightly adjusted his straight right to hook it around Cotto’s glove and hit his face.  Similarly, a good trader will recognize a change in volatility or market state and adjust accordingly.


Sports analogies are generally very helpful when it comes to trading, especially for the former athlete.  I never played baseball but I see the wisdom in knowing when to hit a single or a home run.  I have never fished but I know that being patient is important.  Whether you have boxed or not, hopefully these analogies will help you see your trading from a different perspective.   Adapt or else.  Don’t waste energy on foolish opportunities.  Never strike unless you are on balance.  Taking a shot here and there is okay, but don’t get hit by combos.  And finally, keep your hands up and protect your capital at all times.  




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