Since the first trade I ever made, I have always been compelled to keep some
type of written record of what I do in the markets. I’m not totally sure
why. On one hand, it may just be because keeping a journal is highly
recommended by most successful traders; on the other, maybe it just makes me
feel like trading is more of a “job.”
There is something known as the Protestant Work Ethic, which is a concept
rooted in hard work and diligence. It has been used to describe how
traders feel the need to make trading feel more like the traditional 9 AM to 5
PM work day. The trading work day is highly unique. What other job
offers the possibility of going into the office and leaving poorer than you
were when you arrived? More importantly, what other job presents the
ability to make a tremendous amount of money for doing what really feels like
nothing?
This is quickly devolving into a stream-of-consciousness rant, but bear with
me and it will come together at the end.
As a trader it often seems like you make money by doing nothing. Sometimes,
it doesn’t really feel like you are actually working, despite how difficult
trading is. For myself, I feel as though I keep track of statistics,
write ideas down, and stay abreast of macro-economic developments,
sector-specific news, and monetary policy not only for the obvious reason of
having an edge in those areas, but also to make trading feel like work.
If you read the interview
I had with Chip Kenyon last week, this might sound familiar. Chip
mentioned how traders would often make a lot of money very quickly. If a
trade works out, you make money, and if it doesn’t, then you lose money.
While you do have to constantly reevaluate what the developing market is
telling you, it still doesn’t feel “right” to make thousands of dollars or more
for what seems like just sitting there. Maybe, just maybe, journaling
provides you with some of that necessary work ethic so you actually feel like
you deserve what you are making.
In the spirit of keeping this rant going, I quickly want to touch on another
point made during the interview with Chip. It is actually not too
difficult to make a good trade and make some decent money. Therefore some
traders do exactly that, but then they feel that they don’t deserve the money,
so they make flawed decisions that lead to losses. This is a very real
phenomenon of the subconscious. The incredible irony here is that
although it is easy to make one good trade, it is very, very difficult to trade
well consistently, largely because of this phenomenon.
Back to journaling. I have saved all of my journals since I began
trading. I have some that go back as far as 2007. They are almost all
legal pads and I always kept them numbered. There are probably
about 40 of them, full of notes, many which are difficult to read. While I was
waiting to begin trading again this past month, I decided to pull all of them
out and read through them. What I found was pretty astounding as well as
enlightening. A lot of what traders go through is quite personal, so I
won’t go into too much detail here. I will say, however, that there are
themes in my trading which have played out consistently over the years.
For example, I seemed to have some type of aversion to making money due to the
nature of trading and the aforementioned Protestant Work Ethic effect.
That is something I am past now, probably because I am aware of it, and
probably also because I do work harder than I ever have, only not in the ways
that I expected. Another theme worth noting is how much more simple my
trading strategy was when I was less-experienced. But it actually worked
a bit, and in looking over my notes, I have reincorporated some of those
concepts.
I had a very busy week and admittedly I had no post prepared for
today. I had this idea about posting about journaling, so I started
writing it and I think, in the end, it is worth publishing. I suppose I
am recommending to any beginning traders that they keep a journal for multiple
reasons: to make yourself feel like you have more of a real damned job, to
track your own progress and clarify your thought process, and, finally, to have
an archive to look back at a few years down the road and see how you have
developed.
Saturday, May 10, 2014
Saturday, May 3, 2014
Chip Kenyon
I am very fortunate to be in a unique position to sit down with one of the
greatest people ever to don a trading jacket: Chip Kenyon. When I sat
down with Kenyon, I intended to learn about a trader; but, by the end of the
interview, I realized that I had learned about a man. I have read
interviews with other trading greats and, since I don’t know them personally,
it is hard to picture them as people. They are so skilled at what they do
it is almost easier to think of them as superhuman or some type of emotionless
robot. Chip, however, is clearly no robot. He is a man who
integrated his life principles into his trading.
Kenyon got started in the trading business right out of college, kicking off his career on the floor at the Chicago Board of Trade. He traded through what is widely thought of as the heyday of this business. Fortunes were made and lost every day in the pits. While there is still a tremendous amount of money to be made or lost today, at the time Chip began trading, the fact that so much trading talent was concentrated in one place is truly remarkable. The floors of the Chicago exchanges must have been THE most exciting place one could have worked.
The following is some of the discussion I had with Chip. The insight that I gained from speaking with him is clear, and I am gracious he allotted some of his time to sit down with a trader who is following in his footsteps, albeit in a different era.
Can you tell me how you first got into the trading business?
Yes. I got out of college at 23 and I was aware of the business but I wasn’t sure how to find an opening to pursue it. I talked to my parents and they introduced me to my neighbor who was a floor trader at the CBOT. I sat down with him and he took a liking to me, took me down to the floor and had me sit on the sidelines and eventually gave me one of his extra seats free of charge.
What years were you on the floor?
I started in bond options in ’86 and then moved into the futures in ’88. I eventually bought my own seat. I left the floor in 2004 once the market was mostly electronic. Once it got to about 80-85% on the screen on the computer, I said “That’s enough.”
After you saw the floor with your neighbor, were you attracted to trading right away?
Yeah, I did like the competitive environment. Much like an athlete, I think you can do well by having a strong mindset and having a little hunger. But I told my neighbor, “I’m not sure I’m ready,” and he said “You gotta go in and figure it out. Learn by the seat of your pants.” So, I remember the first trade I made, my hand was shaking and I couldn’t even write down the numbers. But once you see a little success, whether it is making $30 or $50 a day, you want more. Not out of greed, but you want to keep improving.
My neighbor always said we have to get the right breed in the business. I tried to help out 13 guys but only 1 of them made it. We want to pass it down to the next generation and have stable guys in the business.
That sounds like a pretty standard number, 1 out of 13 or even 1 out or 20 making it.
Yeah, these were all good quality guys. It’s not an easy business.
The guy that did make it, was there anything about him that you would attribute to his success?
Very level-headed, composed, no ego. Never would try to trade outside of his parameters. He was steady, never emotional. He was also a big time hockey player so he also had that advantage.
Ego – how would you say your lack of ego is a benefit?
Once you start thinking you’re too big or the market can’t beat you, or you start making too much money and get full of yourself, you’re gonna be humbled. I always left everyday, whether I made or lost money, as the same person. I always thought I could do better. There were times when I thought someone stole my market, but I wouldn’t scream and point and yell. That takes you out of your gameplan.
I saw a lot of guys who were too cocky and they got put into their place.
This mind-set you’re talking about – remaining level, egoless and unemotional – is this something that you learned?
I had that discipline, but you train yourself. It becomes a habit. My wife would say that she never knew if I had a good day or a bad day. I wouldn’t sulk or feel sorry for myself or start drinking. I would have the same routine. The best thing about trading is that you get back on the horse the next day. I looked forward to the days where I got put in my place because then the next day I’d correct everything and I’d be a little more polished.
How long would you say that it took you to become confident in your abilities on the floor?
A couple of years. It’s a gradual process, a slow process. Every month I’d get better. It wasn’t like one day I was trading 100 lots and the day before I was trading 1 lots. Always get better, every month, every year.
Did you ever get impatient with yourself?
No, no, no. I was making enough money for a 24 or 25 year old kid which was probably more than I could have been making at a bank in New York. I always thought I had a lot more upside.
How did you handle having a losing day?
I’d think about it; get angry at myself. I’d look at my mistakes and tell myself it would never happen again. Of course it would another month down the road, but I would just rehearse in my head why I did something. A lot of my mistakes were from me being emotional or stubborn. The worst day for anyone is when you’re adding to losers.
How about a big winning day?
Well I would go buy a new car and go on a bender (laughs). No, I would go think about the opportunities that I missed. I was never patting myself on the back. The challenge is can you do it again? Can you keep it up?
Was that one of the things you liked about trading? That you always tried to improve?
Yeah, yeah. It was never the money. I would always think that I have more to offer so you constantly pushed yourself. You learn a lot about yourself.
Tell me about some trading-related mistakes that you saw guys make.
Well I gotta tell you, the main one is how many people I heard on elevators or hallways saying “I should have bought it,” or “I knew it was going up.” People lacking conviction and guts. If you see something you react and take a stand. There are a lot of people who have regrets and there are a lot of “hindsight traders” as I call them. Well, they should have done something about it. A lot of guys are afraid. If your gut tells you to do something, then do it.
Do you think these guys would be upset with themselves about missing a trade and kick of a negative cycle of thinking?
Yeah. Those are the types of guys that always make excuses. Instead of saying I screwed up, it’s this excuse or that excuse. The beauty of trading in the old days is that it’s never anyone else’s fault.
I would say that the same is true today unless you are part of a team or have a partner. It can be tempting to blame the market, but for example, I keep a journal where can see what I am doing wrong. There is never any excuse.
There was this clearing house that had this card of “Dos and Don’ts.” I kept that card in my pocket for 18 years. It was the most obvious stuff. You have to remind yourself over and over again.
Cutting losers is number one. But letting profits run, or adding to profits, is probably the hardest thing. Everyone has bad days but when you have a profit, it takes a certain kind of person to ride it because you are thinking “Wow, this is a lot of money. I should just take this and call it a day.” But it takes a brave person to add on and let it go. That’s how you really succeed in this business.
Would you say a good analogy to that is a baseball player knowing when to hit a single, double, or a home run?
Yep. Or a hockey player that has 3 goals in the first period. Does he say “OK, I’m satisfied, time to go home?”
Talking about sports, how do you feel your experience in college Lacrosse helped you as a trader?
The discipline, which some of it is inherent. Competitiveness, drive, fire. Playing college sports helped me train those skills that are important in trading.
How about major lifestyle mistakes that you saw guys making?
There are a lot of guys who would make a certain amount and then call it a day. I mean they would trade until 8:30 AM and then go to the bar, go play golf. You shouldn’t have a limit on where you stop. If you make money from 7:30 to 8:30, why not 8:30 until 2:30? That always bugged me. Guys would just skip out of the pit. And these are the guys that are struggling now. They live on their parents’ couch. It’s a somber story but you see a lot of it.
There is one trader who I was talking to recently and he said “You were right Chip. I remember one day I made some dough and I was leaving and you said ‘Where the hell are you going?’” He didn’t take advantage of the situation. You don’t say “I deserve a break.” You have to stay hungry.
Do you think some of these guys behaved this way because they were scared to give money back?
I understand that concept, but it’s just work ethic. The thing that angered me the most is that if I left the pit and then I would hear about a trade I missed, it would burn me up. So I would rather sit there for 5 hours and not make a dime than miss a potential opportunity.
The barrier to entry for this business is so low. To perform surgery on someone’s brain, you have to go to medical school for a long time. But to start trading, all you need is some money.
Right. I hate to say it but a lot of these guys were clerks when they were 18 and then making six figures when they were 22 and they can’t handle it. You can’t get caught up in the money.
What did money mean to you?
It was just a way to see that I am still improving. In early 2000s, I didn’t see progress with myself because the game was changing. That frustrated me. I decided to move on.
What did you like most about trading?
I think it’s important to like your job. I looked forward to the competitive environment. I could have been a teacher or a banker, but I would have missed the thrill factor of trading. It’s the next best thing to being a professional athlete…or rock star.
What about things you disliked?
Um…it was very impersonal. You might spend a week not talking to anyone. Everyone had their own angle. It’s not a nice business and why should it be?
I kept to myself. I don’t think anyone was looking out for my well-being.
Did you ever have feelings of guilt after making a lot of money? How did you reconcile that?
Yeah, yeah. One trader said that people can’t stand the guilt so they are dying to give money back. They think it is stupid money.
That is sort of ironic because making money consistently as a trader is extremely difficult, but having one good trade is not.
Yep.
As Ed Seykota said, everyone gets what they want from the markets.
Exactly. You can’t think about the money. You focus on doing the best you can.
Did you do anything each day before the open?
Not really, I was really a reactionary trader. I would get to the office 20 minutes before the open and that was it. On the ride downtown I might talk to myself a little, but that’s it.
Would you want your kids to get into trading nowadays?
No.
What about back in the day?
Yep, I would, but not anymore. I think it’s really difficult.
What do you think is more difficult about it? That the edge from the pit is not there?
Yep, yep.
For myself, the remedy is to not scalp, but just make a couple of good trades today.
That was hard for me, because I had a pit mentality.
How many trades would you make a day?
Hmm…maybe a 1000 round turns. I think one day I did about 45,000 round turns, which was a big percentage. I was always in the market. I could trade with an opinion and be in the market the whole time.
So your style was strictly scalping?
Yeah, scalping with an opinion.
When you were having a losing streak, how did you deal with that?
I would just try to have one winning day and then all of the negative thoughts are gone.
From what I have felt and read, it seems like a common experience during a losing streak is to think that you never actually knew what you were doing as a trader. It has all been luck up to here. Paul Tudor Jones said something along those lines.
Yep, but one good trade or one good day and you feel good again.
What about winning streaks?
That was the time to push it, not take a break.
What about life outside of trading? I think it is important to have balance. You can’t drink a lot or do drugs, you should have good relationships with people; you need to be stable.
It’s important to have a routine. I would either go work out or coach youth sports. I would then have dinner with my family. There was no wiggle room…it was stable.
People have the false impression that traders are just guys that happen to be very smart or gutsy. But I think maturity and stability are the more important attributes.
Definitely. I don’t think I went to bed past 10:00 PM for 15 years.
One of the key themes that we touched on during our discussion was the need for a professionally dispassionate attitude. It may be somewhat ironic, then, that it takes a very real human to maintain that level of professionalism. The person that Chip is outside of the pit largely affected who he was inside the pit. That much seems clear. His confidence in himself and his abilities were perfectly balanced by his humility and respect for the market. He led a life in which family, coaching sports, and other extracurricular activities helped to provide him a much needed break from the demanding life of a pit trader.
Despite not having initial success, Chip maintained confidence in himself and his ability to learn. Trading is a business that will quickly humble the best and the brightest, so staying modest and persistent are necessary ingredients for success. The flip side of that is that when things start going well, you need to stay level-headed and disciplined. Making money as a trader is tough; keeping it is even tougher.
After this interview I was admittedly excited to see that a legend like Chip had indeed experienced many of the problems and feelings that I deal with. It goes to show that while the business of trading may be one of the most dynamic businesses in the world, what it takes to find success may forever be static.
Special thanks to Chip Kenyon for taking the time to let me pick his brain a bit.
Kenyon got started in the trading business right out of college, kicking off his career on the floor at the Chicago Board of Trade. He traded through what is widely thought of as the heyday of this business. Fortunes were made and lost every day in the pits. While there is still a tremendous amount of money to be made or lost today, at the time Chip began trading, the fact that so much trading talent was concentrated in one place is truly remarkable. The floors of the Chicago exchanges must have been THE most exciting place one could have worked.
The following is some of the discussion I had with Chip. The insight that I gained from speaking with him is clear, and I am gracious he allotted some of his time to sit down with a trader who is following in his footsteps, albeit in a different era.
Can you tell me how you first got into the trading business?
Yes. I got out of college at 23 and I was aware of the business but I wasn’t sure how to find an opening to pursue it. I talked to my parents and they introduced me to my neighbor who was a floor trader at the CBOT. I sat down with him and he took a liking to me, took me down to the floor and had me sit on the sidelines and eventually gave me one of his extra seats free of charge.
What years were you on the floor?
I started in bond options in ’86 and then moved into the futures in ’88. I eventually bought my own seat. I left the floor in 2004 once the market was mostly electronic. Once it got to about 80-85% on the screen on the computer, I said “That’s enough.”
After you saw the floor with your neighbor, were you attracted to trading right away?
Yeah, I did like the competitive environment. Much like an athlete, I think you can do well by having a strong mindset and having a little hunger. But I told my neighbor, “I’m not sure I’m ready,” and he said “You gotta go in and figure it out. Learn by the seat of your pants.” So, I remember the first trade I made, my hand was shaking and I couldn’t even write down the numbers. But once you see a little success, whether it is making $30 or $50 a day, you want more. Not out of greed, but you want to keep improving.
My neighbor always said we have to get the right breed in the business. I tried to help out 13 guys but only 1 of them made it. We want to pass it down to the next generation and have stable guys in the business.
That sounds like a pretty standard number, 1 out of 13 or even 1 out or 20 making it.
Yeah, these were all good quality guys. It’s not an easy business.
The guy that did make it, was there anything about him that you would attribute to his success?
Very level-headed, composed, no ego. Never would try to trade outside of his parameters. He was steady, never emotional. He was also a big time hockey player so he also had that advantage.
Ego – how would you say your lack of ego is a benefit?
Once you start thinking you’re too big or the market can’t beat you, or you start making too much money and get full of yourself, you’re gonna be humbled. I always left everyday, whether I made or lost money, as the same person. I always thought I could do better. There were times when I thought someone stole my market, but I wouldn’t scream and point and yell. That takes you out of your gameplan.
I saw a lot of guys who were too cocky and they got put into their place.
This mind-set you’re talking about – remaining level, egoless and unemotional – is this something that you learned?
I had that discipline, but you train yourself. It becomes a habit. My wife would say that she never knew if I had a good day or a bad day. I wouldn’t sulk or feel sorry for myself or start drinking. I would have the same routine. The best thing about trading is that you get back on the horse the next day. I looked forward to the days where I got put in my place because then the next day I’d correct everything and I’d be a little more polished.
How long would you say that it took you to become confident in your abilities on the floor?
A couple of years. It’s a gradual process, a slow process. Every month I’d get better. It wasn’t like one day I was trading 100 lots and the day before I was trading 1 lots. Always get better, every month, every year.
Did you ever get impatient with yourself?
No, no, no. I was making enough money for a 24 or 25 year old kid which was probably more than I could have been making at a bank in New York. I always thought I had a lot more upside.
How did you handle having a losing day?
I’d think about it; get angry at myself. I’d look at my mistakes and tell myself it would never happen again. Of course it would another month down the road, but I would just rehearse in my head why I did something. A lot of my mistakes were from me being emotional or stubborn. The worst day for anyone is when you’re adding to losers.
How about a big winning day?
Well I would go buy a new car and go on a bender (laughs). No, I would go think about the opportunities that I missed. I was never patting myself on the back. The challenge is can you do it again? Can you keep it up?
Was that one of the things you liked about trading? That you always tried to improve?
Yeah, yeah. It was never the money. I would always think that I have more to offer so you constantly pushed yourself. You learn a lot about yourself.
Tell me about some trading-related mistakes that you saw guys make.
Well I gotta tell you, the main one is how many people I heard on elevators or hallways saying “I should have bought it,” or “I knew it was going up.” People lacking conviction and guts. If you see something you react and take a stand. There are a lot of people who have regrets and there are a lot of “hindsight traders” as I call them. Well, they should have done something about it. A lot of guys are afraid. If your gut tells you to do something, then do it.
Do you think these guys would be upset with themselves about missing a trade and kick of a negative cycle of thinking?
Yeah. Those are the types of guys that always make excuses. Instead of saying I screwed up, it’s this excuse or that excuse. The beauty of trading in the old days is that it’s never anyone else’s fault.
I would say that the same is true today unless you are part of a team or have a partner. It can be tempting to blame the market, but for example, I keep a journal where can see what I am doing wrong. There is never any excuse.
There was this clearing house that had this card of “Dos and Don’ts.” I kept that card in my pocket for 18 years. It was the most obvious stuff. You have to remind yourself over and over again.
Cutting losers is number one. But letting profits run, or adding to profits, is probably the hardest thing. Everyone has bad days but when you have a profit, it takes a certain kind of person to ride it because you are thinking “Wow, this is a lot of money. I should just take this and call it a day.” But it takes a brave person to add on and let it go. That’s how you really succeed in this business.
Would you say a good analogy to that is a baseball player knowing when to hit a single, double, or a home run?
Yep. Or a hockey player that has 3 goals in the first period. Does he say “OK, I’m satisfied, time to go home?”
Talking about sports, how do you feel your experience in college Lacrosse helped you as a trader?
The discipline, which some of it is inherent. Competitiveness, drive, fire. Playing college sports helped me train those skills that are important in trading.
How about major lifestyle mistakes that you saw guys making?
There are a lot of guys who would make a certain amount and then call it a day. I mean they would trade until 8:30 AM and then go to the bar, go play golf. You shouldn’t have a limit on where you stop. If you make money from 7:30 to 8:30, why not 8:30 until 2:30? That always bugged me. Guys would just skip out of the pit. And these are the guys that are struggling now. They live on their parents’ couch. It’s a somber story but you see a lot of it.
There is one trader who I was talking to recently and he said “You were right Chip. I remember one day I made some dough and I was leaving and you said ‘Where the hell are you going?’” He didn’t take advantage of the situation. You don’t say “I deserve a break.” You have to stay hungry.
Do you think some of these guys behaved this way because they were scared to give money back?
I understand that concept, but it’s just work ethic. The thing that angered me the most is that if I left the pit and then I would hear about a trade I missed, it would burn me up. So I would rather sit there for 5 hours and not make a dime than miss a potential opportunity.
The barrier to entry for this business is so low. To perform surgery on someone’s brain, you have to go to medical school for a long time. But to start trading, all you need is some money.
Right. I hate to say it but a lot of these guys were clerks when they were 18 and then making six figures when they were 22 and they can’t handle it. You can’t get caught up in the money.
What did money mean to you?
It was just a way to see that I am still improving. In early 2000s, I didn’t see progress with myself because the game was changing. That frustrated me. I decided to move on.
What did you like most about trading?
I think it’s important to like your job. I looked forward to the competitive environment. I could have been a teacher or a banker, but I would have missed the thrill factor of trading. It’s the next best thing to being a professional athlete…or rock star.
What about things you disliked?
Um…it was very impersonal. You might spend a week not talking to anyone. Everyone had their own angle. It’s not a nice business and why should it be?
I kept to myself. I don’t think anyone was looking out for my well-being.
Did you ever have feelings of guilt after making a lot of money? How did you reconcile that?
Yeah, yeah. One trader said that people can’t stand the guilt so they are dying to give money back. They think it is stupid money.
That is sort of ironic because making money consistently as a trader is extremely difficult, but having one good trade is not.
Yep.
As Ed Seykota said, everyone gets what they want from the markets.
Exactly. You can’t think about the money. You focus on doing the best you can.
Did you do anything each day before the open?
Not really, I was really a reactionary trader. I would get to the office 20 minutes before the open and that was it. On the ride downtown I might talk to myself a little, but that’s it.
Would you want your kids to get into trading nowadays?
No.
What about back in the day?
Yep, I would, but not anymore. I think it’s really difficult.
What do you think is more difficult about it? That the edge from the pit is not there?
Yep, yep.
For myself, the remedy is to not scalp, but just make a couple of good trades today.
That was hard for me, because I had a pit mentality.
How many trades would you make a day?
Hmm…maybe a 1000 round turns. I think one day I did about 45,000 round turns, which was a big percentage. I was always in the market. I could trade with an opinion and be in the market the whole time.
So your style was strictly scalping?
Yeah, scalping with an opinion.
When you were having a losing streak, how did you deal with that?
I would just try to have one winning day and then all of the negative thoughts are gone.
From what I have felt and read, it seems like a common experience during a losing streak is to think that you never actually knew what you were doing as a trader. It has all been luck up to here. Paul Tudor Jones said something along those lines.
Yep, but one good trade or one good day and you feel good again.
What about winning streaks?
That was the time to push it, not take a break.
What about life outside of trading? I think it is important to have balance. You can’t drink a lot or do drugs, you should have good relationships with people; you need to be stable.
It’s important to have a routine. I would either go work out or coach youth sports. I would then have dinner with my family. There was no wiggle room…it was stable.
People have the false impression that traders are just guys that happen to be very smart or gutsy. But I think maturity and stability are the more important attributes.
Definitely. I don’t think I went to bed past 10:00 PM for 15 years.
One of the key themes that we touched on during our discussion was the need for a professionally dispassionate attitude. It may be somewhat ironic, then, that it takes a very real human to maintain that level of professionalism. The person that Chip is outside of the pit largely affected who he was inside the pit. That much seems clear. His confidence in himself and his abilities were perfectly balanced by his humility and respect for the market. He led a life in which family, coaching sports, and other extracurricular activities helped to provide him a much needed break from the demanding life of a pit trader.
Despite not having initial success, Chip maintained confidence in himself and his ability to learn. Trading is a business that will quickly humble the best and the brightest, so staying modest and persistent are necessary ingredients for success. The flip side of that is that when things start going well, you need to stay level-headed and disciplined. Making money as a trader is tough; keeping it is even tougher.
After this interview I was admittedly excited to see that a legend like Chip had indeed experienced many of the problems and feelings that I deal with. It goes to show that while the business of trading may be one of the most dynamic businesses in the world, what it takes to find success may forever be static.
Special thanks to Chip Kenyon for taking the time to let me pick his brain a bit.
Saturday, April 26, 2014
The Essential Non-Trading Trading Books
There is so much trading literature available that sifting
through all of it to find value can be a daunting task. There are some classics such as the “Market
Wizards” series,” Reminiscences of a Stock Operator,” and “Pit Bull.” There are also some newer books which I think
are great like “Hedge Fund Market Wizards,” “Traders at Work,” or “Market Mind
Games.”
“Stress causes most people to focus narrowly on the things that they consider most important, and it may be the wrong thing.”
While I intend to take a closer look at these trading books
further down the road, right now I’d like to point out the tremendous value to
be found in books that aren’t explicitly about trading. So, this week, I present to you the list of
Non-Trading Trading Books. I will
provide a brief description of the book, its relation to the trading game, and
then offer some relevant quotes and what they mean for traders.
Letters From A Stoic
by Seneca
Seneca was a Roman Stoic Philosopher. “Letters From a Stoic” is a collection of
essays disguised as letters to a friend of Seneca’s. One of the main themes in the book is the
importance of dealing with uncertainty and things outside of your control with
a dispassionate attitude. Adopting this
sort of attitude can seriously help one in trading. After all, once you put on a trade, what
happens is out of your control. The only
thing that you do control is your reaction.
Aside from the near-explicit trading lessons to be found, there is a lot
to learn about how to live, which also affects how one trades.
“Halt before every
good which Chance brings to you, in a spirit of doubt and fear; for it is the
dumb animals and fish that are deceived by tempting hopes.”
Trading Translation: Hope kills traders. Be wary of easily gotten gains.
“Our lack of
confidence is not the result of difficulty.
The difficulty comes from our lack of confidence.”
Trading Translation: Confidence is absolutely key to
trading well, but don’t forget to balance it with humility.
Deep Survival by
Laurence Gonzales
This is one of my top five favorite books of all time. Gonzales looks at some extreme situations in
which people had to survive – being stranded at sea, stuck in a jungle after a
plane crash, lost in the wilderness. He
then figures out why they survived. How
did they think differently from those who perished? What traits did the survivors have? Trading in the financial markets throws the
participant into what is basically an electronic wilderness. When real money is on the line, how you think
and deal with yourself is what will separate the winner from the loser. Having
the “survivor personality” is absolutely critical to success in trading. I have read this book a few times and it
never ceases to amaze me how much Gonzales’ perspective applies to
trading. A few quotes to show what I
mean:
“There are things you
can’t control, so you’d better know how you’re going to react to them.”
Trading Translation: You can’t control what happens
when you are in a trade, so be ready to react to any possible scenario.
“…they displayed that
quality which is perhaps the only one which may be said with certainty to make
for success, self-control.”
Trading Translation: Can the importance of
self-control in trading ever really be stressed enough?
“Stress causes most people to focus narrowly on the things that they consider most important, and it may be the wrong thing.”
Trading Translation:
If you are in a losing trade and the market is moving against you, your
brain is going to focus on information that you want to see; information that
confirms that you are correct. You
should actually be looking for information that is saying that you are
incorrect instead!
“In nature [or the
markets], adaptation is important; the plan is not. It’s a Zen thing. We must plan.
But we must be able to let go of the plan, too.”
Trading Translation: Planning every day is important
so you know how you will handle different scenarios. But plans can quickly be invalidated in
trading, so you need to be able to forget your original plan and come up with a
new one.
The I Ching or Book
of Changes by Brian Browne Walker
The I Ching is a classic Chinese text that was believed to
be written between 475-221 BCE. To use
the I Ching properly, you are supposed to throw specific Chinese coins to come
to some sort of answer. However, the
text alone provides a lot of lessons that can be learned and applied to trading.
“A challenge lies
ahead. Ready yourself by deepening the
stillness within. Anxious anticipation
only weakens your abilities.”
Trading Translation: Every day that a trader wakes up, he faces the
challenge of a new trading day where it is impossible to know what is going to
happen. Having feelings of anxiety is a
common experience. This quote is one
that I try to keep in mind at the beginning of the day to keep things in
perspective.
“Recognize the
beginnings of improper action. The
superior person corrects herself while it is still easy to do so.”
Trading Translation: After I have a couple of bad trades in a row,
I know that my vision of the market is probably not objective anymore. Instead of continuing to press my trades, it
is always a better idea to recognize my flawed judgment and correct it.
“The superior person
avoids making excuses. Recognize errors,
correct them, and there will be no misfortune.”
Trading Translation: Trading is a business in which the participant
is 100 percent responsible for his or her results. It is never the fault of the market that the
trader lost money, and if the trader believes otherwise, that trader will never
learn from their mistakes.
Thinking Fast and
Slow by Daniel Kahneman
This is a pretty popular book that takes a look at how our
brains work. One of the main themes is
that we can much more easily spot the mistakes of others than we can our
own. Kahneman also discusses what he
calls “System 1” and “System 2.” System
2 is in charge of self-control while System 1 is more impulsive. This is all rooted in evolutionary
biology. Knowing how we think can help
us to work around innate biases that might have adverse effects on our trading
decisions.
“The best we can do is
a compromise: learn to recognize situations in which mistakes are likely and
try harder to avoid significant mistakes when the stakes are high. The premise of this book is that it is easier
to recognize other people’s mistakes than our own.”
Trading Translation: The stakes are always high in
trading so working to avoid mistakes is always necessary. And what about the idea that it is easier to
recognize other people’s mistakes than our own?
Mistakes any traders make are lessons for the smart trader to take into
the future. I believe the savvy,
experienced trader can see other traders making mistakes in the market and then
exploit them to advantage.
“The conclusion is
straightforward: self-control requires attention and effort.”
Trading Translation: I don’t think most people see
self-control as the biological process that it really is. It is not something that you either have or
you don’t. It is something you can build
and in order to use it properly, you need to be eating well, sleeping well, and
exercising. These things all help to
maintain a healthy lifestyle and energy levels, which directly influences
success in trading.
“…effortful mental
activity appears to be especially expensive in the currency of glucose. When you are actively involved in difficult
cognitive reasoning or engaged in a task that requires self-control, your blood
glucose level drops. The bold
implication of this idea is that the effects of ego depletion could be undone
by ingesting glucose, and [this hypothesis has been confirmed in several
experiment].”
Trading Translation: Your brain craves glucose as a result
of effortful thinking, so eat more bananas when trading. Seriously though, keeping your energy status
in mind is important so you can know if your discipline may not be where it
needs to be. Thinking takes energy!
“Another remarkable
discovery is the powerful effect of mood…They [experimenters] found that
putting the participants in a good mood before the test by having them think happy
thoughts more than doubled accuracy. An
even more striking result is that unhappy subjects were completely incapable of
performing the intuitive task accurately…when we are uncomfortable and unhappy,
we lose touch with our intuition.”
Trading Translation: Having a positive attitude is
necessary when trading. You need to have
confidence to be able to rely on your intuition.
I could keep pulling quotes from this book for hours, but I
strongly suggest you read it yourself.
The Inner Game of
Golf by W. Timothy Gallwey
The title is pretty self-explanatory but, just to be clear,
this book is about the mental part of golf.
The concepts apply to trading with incredible accuracy, so I will let
the quotes do the talking.
“…slow-motion
videotapes revealed that the best golfers do a great deal that is individual or
unique and that there are relatively few constants in the swings of the pros.”
Trading Translation: The same can be said about great
traders. They all have a method and
style that is unique to them. Tiger
Woods can’t teach you your unique swing; although he can probably give you some
good tips. Likewise, Paul Tudor Jones
can’t teach you how to trade using his style either; he can only offer general
tips, one of which would probably be to figure out your own style.
“I concluded that the
walk between shots is one of the most critical parts of the game.”
Trading Translation: Waiting between trades is
difficult. It takes a lot of
patience. Patience with the right mind
set. You can’t overthink and you need to
be prepared for whatever happens. You
have to keep your thoughts positive so you remain confident in your ability to
make correct decisions.
“Doubt is the
fundamental cause of error in sports. It
is self-doubt that causes the skier to tighten…”
Trading Translation: Self-doubt also causes the
trader’s “vision” to narrow until the only things visible are the objects of
fear. The result is that the trader
often gets what he or she fears most.
The Talent Code by
Daniel Coyle
“Practice makes perfect” should be replaced with “Practice
makes myelin,” according to Daniel Coyle.
This may sound like a self-help book, but it is all about the chemistry
of the brain and it is the most fascinating book I’ve read in years. Essentially, repetitive action (practice)
causes myelin to wrap around the nerve fibers that are firing as you are
performing a specific action. Myelin
insulates the nerve fibers causing them to fire faster and faster. This is exactly what skill is on the chemical
level. Myelin is something that has
scientists very excited right now and reading this book will give you a whole
new perspective on whatever it is you do.
“You will become very
clever through your mistakes.”
Trading Translation: Mistakes are truly a beautiful
thing because they are really arrows pointing to what you need to improve
on. This is as true in trading as
anywhere else.
“We think of effortless
performance as desirable, but it’s really a terrible way to learn.”
Trading Translation: Struggle is the best way to
learn anything worth the effort. Without
struggle, your brain is literally not making the connections that it needs to
make to enhance your skill.
“’Things that appear
to be obstacles turn out to be desirable in the long haul,’ Bjork said. ‘One
real encounter, even for a few seconds, is far more useful than several hundred
observations.’”
Trading Translation: Watching the markets may be a
good way to learn about how they work, but experience is what really counts.
This book is worth a book (or maybe just a blog post) on its
implications when it comes to trading.
The above books are all much better read as a whole rather
than a few select quotes. Hopefully the
sampled quotes will provide the evidence needed to understand that these books
do carry valuable trading lessons.
A lot of new traders start off by figuring out ways to
analyze the markets. What I think is far
more important than that is learning how to analyze yourself. The trading environment is very unique and
our innate traits set us up for failure from the get-go. Having every possible advantage is necessary
to succeed in this business. At one
point it was thought that mind and body are separate, but now it is scientific
fact that they both influence each other dramatically. So while the above list may not directly
address trading, they address an important aspect of it: you.
Saturday, April 19, 2014
Boxing and Trading
Certain sports provide solid analogies to the world of
trading. Golf is a very mentally intensive
game. You can’t overthink your swing or
you are going to screw part of it up.
You have to stay confident but maintain a sense of humility. In baseball you have to know when to hit a
single or a double. Or maybe it’s time
for a homerun. Football has an element
of strategy that is familiar to traders.
Fishing requires a tremendous amount of patience.
There is no question that having some athletic background
will give one an edge in the trading game, all else being equal. For instance, golfers have to learn how to be
levelheaded and control their emotions.
They have to be able to perform well under pressure. That is something all traders struggle
with. Baseball provides my favorite
analogy, however. Knowing when you
should hit a single, double, triple, or home run, is applicable to trading. Should you let this winning trade keep
going? Or is it time to get out because
the trend is going to turn? In my
opinion, knowing when to hit the single versus the home run is what separates
the good trader from the great trader.
While I am not personally a huge football fan, a lot of guys at my old
prop firm were big into the Madden videogame series and likened the strategic
aspect to trading. And fishing has some
obvious parallels as well. You have to
sit and be extremely patient, waiting for the perfect opportunity.
I can’t claim to have any extensive experience in any of the
above sports with the exception of golf.
But one sport with which I am very familiar, and may actually provide a
very apt analogy, almost never gets compared to trading: boxing.
To the untrained eye, a boxing match simply appears to be
two humans attempting to hit each other in the face. To the more experienced patron, it is a game
of chess in which everything comes down to technique, measured risk-taking, and
knowing when to go for the kill.
Most casual fight fans like to watch brawlers go at it. They like to see fights such as
Rios-Alvarado, Ward-Gatti, or Corrales-Castillo. These were wars were the opponents put it all
on the line. These guys came to
entertain. People love fighters like
Manny Pacquiao who relentlessly attack their opponents with flurries of
devastating punches. They want to see
knockouts and perhaps blood. I do enjoy
these fights as well, but not nearly as much as I enjoy watching a masterful
performance from a fighter like Floyd Mayweather, Andre Ward, or Guillermo
Rigondeaux. You have probably heard of
Floyd Mayweather who is the “Pound 4 Pound” best fighter and highest paid
athlete in the world. Ward and
Rigondeaux are known well by hardcore fans.
All three have the same things in common: they are absolute masters of intelligent
risk-taking, fighting on balance, and adjusting in the middle of a fight. They are the masters of the “Sweet Science.”
“Good trading is boring trading.” Have you heard that before? If not, you might be missing out on some
great trading literature. The point is
that trading comes down to a grind. You
sit there; you wait, and then you take a trade.
Then you take another. And
another. The glamour that is often seen in movies and
other media just doesn’t exist in the real world of trading. Trading is a tough, tough business and you
have to be mentally fit to sit through the hard times, the boring times, and most
importantly, the good times. After all,
it is during the good times that you may be prone to overconfidence and as a
result, dropping your guard.
People who don’t understand trading are sometimes drawn to
it because they expect this sense of glamour, but those who do understand
trading know what the reality is. The
same can be said about boxing. The top
fighters all have styles that seem boring, but if you know what you are
watching, then it is truly a thing of beauty.
Watching Andre Ward set up his opponent to make a mistake that leads to
a left-hook KO two rounds later; Guillermo Rigondeaux schools one of the
hardest hitters in the sport with his incredible timing; Floyd Mayweather
proves to be more elusive than the ‘Holy Grail’ is in trading. These are all beautiful, quiet qualities of
these boxers. Distracted by the blood and guts, the casual
fans don’t get to witness the marvelous technique that makes the Sweet Science
so sweet. . Imagine watching one of the best traders in
the world get out of a trade with a small loss in order to avoid a larger
one. Is that exciting? Not really, but it is proper risk
management. Imagine watching another
trader take huge risks and making big profits.
That is exciting to watch, but with that lack of money management (think
about a boxer using proper defense, hands up), the trader is bound to get blown
out (like the boxer would get knocked out for the lack of defense).
Take a look at Floyd Mayweather, one of the best defensive
boxers of all time. He is a master of
protecting himself and taking intelligent risks. Every time a boxer drops his hands, he is
open to being hit. Every time a trader
takes a trade, he is open to taking a loss.
Knowing when it is time to take the risk and when it is time to protect
yourself is vital. If the market is not
providing an opportunity, then you keep your hands up. If there is an opening, you take it, and then
get right back to protecting yourself.
Some boxers will keep their hands down and throw less-than-stellar shots
hoping to score a knockout. This leads
to a lot of unnecessary risk being taken as a result of hope. Good traders don’t hope. Floyd Mayweather doesn’t hope. This brings us to the next point…
…Staying on balance.
If you are not on balance in the ring, you can’t throw a proper
punch. If you are not mentally on
balance, you cannot make objective trading decisions. Staying on balance, both mentally and
physically, is difficult, but few things are more important. This is what discipline is all about in both
endeavors. Throwing a punch off balance can easily lead
to the puncher being knocked out. Taking
a trade when you are not seeing the market clearly can lead to a blowout. You don’t see the best boxers taking wild
swings. If they miss a shot, they get
back to the proper form and prepare for the next one. Likewise, if a good trader takes a loss, he
realizes it is just part of the game and prepares for the next trade. Less experienced traders will take a loss and
then immediately take another, lower quality trade to try to make their money
right back. Elite traders don’t take
those trades. They get back to playing
defense and then wait for the next solid opportunity. Taking
a loss or getting hit with a punch is just the nature of these activities. Taking multiple losses or getting tagged with
combinations over and over might be an indication that your discipline needs to
be checked.
Adapting to changing conditions is tough and requires an
open mind. Staying defensively
responsible and not wasting your energy or capital helps you keep this mind
set. The markets are always changing
their tune. They will change when you
are in a trade and you might have to adapt right away. A fighter might try a different approach
against his opponent and then the opponent must adjust. If you don’t adapt, you lose. Mayweather is known for being able to adjust
in the middle of a fight. When he was fighting
Miguel Cotto, he slightly adjusted his straight right to hook it around Cotto’s
glove and hit his face. Similarly, a
good trader will recognize a change in volatility or market state and adjust accordingly.
Sports analogies are generally very helpful when it comes to
trading, especially for the former athlete.
I never played baseball but I see the wisdom in knowing when to hit a
single or a home run. I have never
fished but I know that being patient is important. Whether you have boxed or not, hopefully
these analogies will help you see your trading from a different
perspective. Adapt or else. Don’t waste energy on foolish
opportunities. Never strike unless you
are on balance. Taking a shot here and
there is okay, but don’t get hit by combos.
And finally, keep your hands up and protect your capital at all
times.
GIF source: http://giphy.com/gifs/11MPo03qPTjjhu
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